How It All Ends: Risk Management (pt 3 of 7)
by admin on Friday, May 22nd, 2009 | 25 Comments
Part of the “Extension Pack” of videos accompanying the video “How It All Ends.” See “How It All Ends: Index” for a roadmap to guide you through the extension pack.
Duration : 0:9:50
[youtube 9hpNoBfEsLw]
Fuck u Jewishist …
u Jewishist Jew , filling us with Jewish Controlled Propaganda, Mankind is not Responsible nor is Able to Control Global Warming you insignificant meaningless Parasite, Global Warming is indeed a natural cycle, Instead: Let’s apply the word that israeli jews are Parasites thriving on US taxpayer handouts
the way you wrote …
the way you wrote google looked like googk lol
please forgive my …
please forgive my psychosis but, i find myself asking this question. Is there any possible way that the people of NAS could be bought or coercced to tuning this kind of dire prediction in order for some evil government control scheme to have credence? ( ignoring momentarily the fact that my experience makes me agree with NAS “them’ but i must question anyway) All the more reason for people to educate themselves and right our corupt sociatal woes as part of the solution IMO. might cost less
Although this could …
Although this could be very intelligent in its own way, but only if you’re looking to climb the social ladder (Universities, Government, Companies). But I ume this is not what we are looking for.
Keep it up!
To back up my …
To back up my thoughts
How did Warren E Buffett start his investing career?
So always remember smartness is random. The only sure route to go is to make sure you rely on people with the least bias in terms what you are trying to solve and with a certain degree of intelligence.
Because not even the most intelligent person can escape our human trait of being social beings and looking for approval from our peers. cont….
wonderingmind42, …
wonderingmind42, fantastic work, but please consider scientastics point with a lot of consequence.
What was the approval rating for Bush when he started the war in Irak?
Was he therefore right, or were the masses mislead including the fantastic brains of the US lead by dread and other agendas.
So sometimes it is better to go with the minority agreed that it has no bias (vested interest) et al even if it doesn’t have a lot of resources.
Devil’s advocate. …
Devil’s advocate. You’ve addressed a lot of equipment, but I haven’t heard you address the problem of group bias or groupthink. This is a well-known and common problem in society and also affects science.
yes, if there were …
yes, if there were floods each where money would be useless but what i reckon szara is trying to say is that if we spent lots of money on wind energy and it was pointless people would lose jobs and get financially hurt
The fallacy …
The fallacy committed by people saying, “If not for the actions of Bush, there would’ve been further successful terrorist actions in the U.S.” was referred to-when I took a course in logic in college-as the “hypothesis contrary to fact” fallacy. The hypothesis is “Not the actions of Bush”, or “If Bush hadn’t taken such and such actions”. It is contrary to fact because Bush did take those actions, and it isn’t remotely possible to know for certain what would’ve occurred had he not taken them.
Climate change is a …
Climate change is a macrosocial issue, not a microsocial one.
Much the way Bush ” …
Much the way Bush “kept us safe from terrorists” is a logical fallacy.
One could recommend that he has also kept us safe from “Squirrel monsters from Mars”. The inability to prove something is fake because it can’t be proven, doesn’t make it right.
That’s why peer …
That’s why peer review and admire is so vitally vital. It’s basically a board of scientists that critically evaluate and dissect any scientific breakthroughs for flaws or inconsistencies.
Earning a place amongst these peers is no simple task considering the high amount of regard, respect and responsibility that one carries.
Not everything is …
Not everything is about money.
How much will your money be worth if the world falls into total anarchy and chaos? Very small, I would reckon.
Reading the …
Reading the documents that lead to the saying at 6:00 foward
(“2 we are the ones doing it.”) Their is no evidence claiming this in the second document. So 50% of that stament is incorrect. )
That is a excellent tool …
That is a excellent tool. But, you also have to weigh the people who may get financially hurt and who will still advocate human caused climate change into this. Solar and wind energy is not exactly cheap. Investing in that carries a risk. Maybe oil prices will go down or someone develops a better technology. Which would lead to people losing their jobs. That doesn’t influence whether man-made climate change is real, it just shows us where the money flows.
My tool for …
My tool for weighting is; who will gain financially from this? For instance, if a source claims that Human activity causes Climate Change, I question myself “How many of these people would be out of a job if their claim was not right?”
besides that, i …
besides that, i really agree with most of what you’re presenting, and keep it up!
you say these …
you say these larger corporations (AAAC/NAS) have a larger risk of consequences should their statements be proven incorrect(as stated in the original video how it all ends)vs. an individual scientists risk of negative consequences should they be proven incorrect, i have to disagree, especially in view of the fact that they both have been incorrect before. A single scientist making a statement puts his personal career on the line more in view of the fact that, if he is incorrect he will lose credibility and have distress finding support in the future
Your enthusiasm to …
Your enthusiasm to declare it doesn’t exist if “agreed the right evidence” has not anything to do with falsifiability. The claim is falsifiable if it is possible to test whether or not it is fake in a meaningful way. The statement “God exists and his skin is blue” is not falsifiable, in view of the fact that there is no possible test that could prove that statement fake.
Correlation equals …
Correlation equals not causation. CO2 concentrations going up in view of the fact that industrialization doesn’t indicate that industrialization was the reason or even the primary reason for their increase.
Sorry,appeal to …
Sorry,appeal to authority is always fallacious, in view of the fact that the fallacious part of it is that the authority being appealed to has not anything to do with the subject being discussed. If you question a well-respected biologist his opinion on quantum physics, and cite his opinion saying, “look at what this well-respected scientist believes about quantum physics”, you’ve committed the fallacy. If you really cite him discussion about something in his meadow of biology, you haven’t committed the fallacy.
“in print work is …
“in print work is highly cited”. Do you mean that said work cites a lot of references, or that many people cite IT as a reference?
awesome videos… …
awesome videos… time for the next one!
Just a detail, but …
Just a detail, but shouldn’t ‘time’ be a part of that ‘more credible – less credible’ scale? How dependable is information agreed in the 1980s for example compared to information available now? Even when provided by a qualified organisation.
If this …
If this entertaining and informative set of video’s, or something similar, could be shown to a mass audience I wouldn’t be the only one questioning my stance on the issue.